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News > Chinese mainland has lowered its air cargo to Europe and America by 30%
Affected by the European debt crisis, international air cargo has been in a downturn since the second half of last year. According to the analysis of the transaction data of mechanical and electrical products of the 111th Canton fair just concluded, the freight Department of China Southern Airlines believes that the trend of air freight from the mainland to Europe and the United States is not optimistic in the second and third quarters of this year, and the decline proportion is expected to exceed 30%.

The Canton Fair is known as the "wind vane" and "barometer" of foreign trade. The spring Canton Fair reflects the export situation of foreign trade in the second and third quarters of the year. Through the transaction situation of the Canton Fair, the overall trend of the international air freight market can also be found out.

According to the analysis of the cargo aircraft Department of China Southern Airlines freight department, from the transaction data of electromechanical products in the Canton Fair, the trend of China's air freight to Europe and the United States in the second and third quarters of this year is not optimistic. Electronic, electrical, computer and communication, auto parts and other air transport goods decreased significantly; The European and American markets that maintain the main volume of goods show a downward trend, with a decline proportion of more than 30%; ASEAN, South America and "BRICs countries" will be new growth points of air cargo. The total transaction volume is basically the same as that of Europe and the United States. In particular, India and ASEAN have the fastest growth rate, which is the focus of breakthrough in the future.

However, the research materials of the Canton Fair provided by China Chamber of Commerce for machinery and electronics also pointed out: "at present, the favorable factors in the world economy and trade are increasing, and some traditional markets such as the United States and Japan show signs of recovery. The first quarter is usually a period of low growth level of China's foreign trade, while the second and third quarters are often the peak period of enterprise order receiving and shipment respectively." The chamber of Commerce believes that China's electromechanical trade is expected to increase by about 10% this year, so it is predicted that the air freight volume of electromechanical products will increase by a certain proportion in the whole year.

According to the data, in the first quarter, the air cargo volume from China to Southeast Asia increased by 55.53% year-on-year, that to the United States was 29.05%, that to South America was 4.5%, and that to Western Europe was only 7.65%. It can be seen that the growth rate of air cargo from China to Southeast Asia is the highest, and the U.S. market has rebounded relatively, but the growth rate of the EU market has slowed down significantly.

The freight Department of China Southern Airlines said that in the face of the complex and changeable international situation and uncertain economic trend in the future, the growth of air freight volume of electromechanical products for Europe and the United States continued to slow down in the second half of the year. However, if airlines can seize the development opportunities of emerging markets, the air cargo volume of electromechanical products is still expected to grow in parallel with the trade volume in the second and third quarters of this year.

The freight department suggested that in the face of obvious decline in European and American markets and rapid growth in emerging markets, airlines should properly deal with the "rise" and "fall" of different international trade markets, including weighing the proportion of new and old markets and optimizing route network structure; Deploy emerging markets in advance and cultivate marketing and service capabilities. Among them, the rise of emerging markets provides an opportunity for the development of air cargo. In particular, India and ASEAN have a growth rate of more than 50%. Airlines can enter emerging markets in the form of cabin sharing and Spa intermodal transport, gradually open cargo aircraft routes and improve market share.
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